The world is literally on fire due to climate change, numerous wars and conflicts with global repercussions, and everything is getting more expensive, while people see that politics - which is supposed to serve society - is subservient only to its masters in the business world. Overpopulation has also become an increasingly pressing issue. The outlook is bleak. Why on earth would anyone want to bring children into this real-life dystopia and deliberately subject them to this?!
20 years ago my wife and decided it was not going to happen and back then it was like. thinks don’t look like they are going well economically and with the environment and our personal finances just aren’t adding up. fast forward to now and best decision ever. It was debatable 20 years ago but now you have to be crazy.
Quite honestly, I doubt that has any bearing on it. Realistically speaking, it wasn’t that much better during the cold war, and that generation had kids. And climate change is not something most people plan their groceries around, let alone their future family.
Because the alternative is just letting your gene line or even the whole species die? Theres also some people that still believe, and probably can succeed, that they can raise kids resilient enough to face those challenges and brave enough to tackle them. If in 40 years governments finally wanna do something about climate change, they’re gonna need some younger hands and boots on the ground to get it done.
Not all of us were raised in a decent life. There are people who grew up in war, slavery, and all sorts of worse shit. They eventually escaped and made a decent life for themselves. Why wouldn’t they believe their children could do the same?
Yes, just let the gene line die who cares we’re not that special, humanity won’t mourn our loss. That’s all part of the brainwashing, like you have to have kids because your parents and grandparents did? Of course not, live life as you see fit doesn’t matter that your ancestors chose what was best for them.
Thinking ones genes are so irreplacable is so incredibly narcissistic. Like, the world couldn’t possibly become a great place without specifically MY genes.
And if we’re thinking in evolutionary time, evolution as we know it is already over. Designer babies likely already exist. Genetic engineering is the biggest thing since sex.
In 40 years, correcting course will be even harder than it is today. Climate change is a compounding problem. Once the ice sheets are gone, they’re not coming back in any time scale we can imagine.
raise kids resilient enough to face those challenges and brave enough to tackle them.
Just kicking the can down the road, like the generations before us. I’m imagining the Lion King scene, except instead of showing Simba a bountiful wilderness to inherent, it’s a scene full of trash under a burning sky.
“Everything the light touches will be yours to fix. Good luck.”
My assumption is if you’re rasing kids to take on those challeneges, you aren’t one of the can kickers. Global problems take near global effort. Its not like “well son we tried nothing and now its on you.” Its more like “here son become educated on whats happening, these are the things we’ve done individually to try to make a change and have a more sustainable mindset, now grab that brick and your picket sign theres a protest this morning.”
Reality check. We are in ZERO danger of extinction. Our population could decline by 95%, and there would still be more humans alive than when Julius Caesar walked the Earth. Extinction would take millennia. But even then, there are built in safe guards that make declining below a certain population level impossible.
For a start, consider natural selection. societies are not homogeneous. Some groups reproduce at above replacement, some below. In the US for example, if we just assume birth rates remain the same for all groups indefinitely, never returning to an average replacement rate? In that unlikely scenario, extinction still will not happen. The Amish and the Mormons shall inherit the Earth.
And this can happen for cultural practices, not just religious groups. Maybe multi-generational households will become more common through natural selection. Maybe it will become the norm for people to have children right after high school, while still living with their parents. You only go to college and start your career after having some kids. Each generation pays to raise their own grandchildren, rather than their own children.
And even without cultural selection, eventually technological decline will prevent extinction. What technology your society can wield is a function of its population. As your population shrinks, your society’s technological complexity decreases. Eventually you can no longer manufacture mechanized farming equipment, so more people have to work the land again. And on traditional family farms, children are an economic resource that pay for themselves. So the birth rate recovers. And of course, reliable birth control is the product of industrial production. Eventually your population shrinks enough that you are no longer capable of running a birth control factory.
I don’t want to see the country become entirely Amish or to see us collapse back to 18th century levels of technology. But these are just the worst case scenarios. The absolute worse case scenario is that population declines by 90-95% and we regress technologically to some 18th century equivalent. Not a future I want to see, but it would hardly be the end of the world. Our present industrial civilization would be remembered as an unsustainable historical aberration, a temporary population boom brought on by the era of cheap hydrocarbons.
We are literally sterilizing the planet lol. The rate of change in CO2 and temperature has never before been seen on this planet, and that’s including the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs, lol.
Nothing can adapt quickly enough to survive that, including us and all of our livestock.
Including the asteroid? Ok now I know you’re full of it.
And again, I’m not talking about whether we avoid mass calamity or civilizational collapse. Those things are possible. Complete extinction is not. Even if we end up with a few million humans scraping by as hunter gatherers at the high latitudes, humans are the most adaptable species on this planet.
I do see your points about the resilience, but to assume total population collapse is IMPOSSIBLE is wrong. Many species on this planet have become extinct and we are not immune to that, locally nor globally. The amish may struggle when crop failure and extreme weather becomes more common place due to changing climates or pollution levels. They might make a bad year or two, but several bad years in a row could significantly reduce populations, possibly to the point of poor genetic diversity where after a few generations certain diseases or conditions wipe them out. They could also just be murdered by hungry stragglers of modern society armed with assault rifles that take their farms without knowing how to sustainably run them.
And also those amish will still have to be having kids despite how bleak their future looks which was the ultimate point of my comment. No kids = no humanity.
We already know from millennia of history that the human population can be maintained just fine at pre-industrial technology and population levels. Sure crop failures happened, but they don’t happen everywhere at the same time. Famines were historically very localized things.
And if we’re talking complete climate collapse? In that scenario, everything goes out the window. If that’s the scenario you want to plan for, then we should be doing everything we can to shrink our numbers as fast as humanly possible.
Humans are by far the most resilient species on this planet. We’ve learned to live everywhere from burning arid deserts to frozen arctic wastes. We will be the last species on this planet aside from some bacteria that go extinct.
We literally cannot be the last species aside from bacteria to go extinct because we eat other species. We rely on plants and often animals to provide our nutrition. We rely on pollinators for plants to grow fruits and vegetables. We were able to survive those harsh environments because they could provide for us. There is no living in the artic without the seals for example.
This is also the fastest our climate has ever changed. Yes the climate has changed in the past but never ar the rate it is now which could cause widespread species collapse, likely becoming earth’s largest extinction event to date. We have no idea the extents that current climate changes impacts will have on us in 100 years, let alone the fact its still getting worse as there is a significant lag time in terms of the effects.
Sure. But again, if you’re planning for climate collapse, it’s a complete uncertainty. Really the only thing that we can do now that would reliably increase our chances of survival is to shrink our current population peacefully as rapidly as possible. If you’re worried about climate collapse, you should be dancing with joy at a declining population. Fewer people means fewer emissions and less land taken up by human activities.
This is a good point. A lot of it to me is one experiencing an advanced level of human progression and relative peace and two seeing the awefulness that some people put up with and three seeing the massive widening of wealth disparity. If it was a situation where we just had the environmental challenges but society had progressed to a more equitable situation I could see it but then our environmental challenges would not be as great as they are. In addition if we were in a state where we had stabilized our population and was working to degrow to a level that was sustainable long term. Then it would make sense.
The world is literally on fire due to climate change, numerous wars and conflicts with global repercussions, and everything is getting more expensive, while people see that politics - which is supposed to serve society - is subservient only to its masters in the business world. Overpopulation has also become an increasingly pressing issue. The outlook is bleak. Why on earth would anyone want to bring children into this real-life dystopia and deliberately subject them to this?!
20 years ago my wife and decided it was not going to happen and back then it was like. thinks don’t look like they are going well economically and with the environment and our personal finances just aren’t adding up. fast forward to now and best decision ever. It was debatable 20 years ago but now you have to be crazy.
Quite honestly, I doubt that has any bearing on it. Realistically speaking, it wasn’t that much better during the cold war, and that generation had kids. And climate change is not something most people plan their groceries around, let alone their future family.
the thing that was better back then was the future. things were getting better. meanwhile now, for many people, the future looks worse.
Because the alternative is just letting your gene line or even the whole species die? Theres also some people that still believe, and probably can succeed, that they can raise kids resilient enough to face those challenges and brave enough to tackle them. If in 40 years governments finally wanna do something about climate change, they’re gonna need some younger hands and boots on the ground to get it done.
Not all of us were raised in a decent life. There are people who grew up in war, slavery, and all sorts of worse shit. They eventually escaped and made a decent life for themselves. Why wouldn’t they believe their children could do the same?
Yes, just let the gene line die who cares we’re not that special, humanity won’t mourn our loss. That’s all part of the brainwashing, like you have to have kids because your parents and grandparents did? Of course not, live life as you see fit doesn’t matter that your ancestors chose what was best for them.
Thinking ones genes are so irreplacable is so incredibly narcissistic. Like, the world couldn’t possibly become a great place without specifically MY genes.
My genes don’t fucking matter.
And if we’re thinking in evolutionary time, evolution as we know it is already over. Designer babies likely already exist. Genetic engineering is the biggest thing since sex.
In 40 years, correcting course will be even harder than it is today. Climate change is a compounding problem. Once the ice sheets are gone, they’re not coming back in any time scale we can imagine.
Just kicking the can down the road, like the generations before us. I’m imagining the Lion King scene, except instead of showing Simba a bountiful wilderness to inherent, it’s a scene full of trash under a burning sky.
“Everything the light touches will be yours to fix. Good luck.”
My assumption is if you’re rasing kids to take on those challeneges, you aren’t one of the can kickers. Global problems take near global effort. Its not like “well son we tried nothing and now its on you.” Its more like “here son become educated on whats happening, these are the things we’ve done individually to try to make a change and have a more sustainable mindset, now grab that brick and your picket sign theres a protest this morning.”
Again the alternative is just giving up.
I’ll be raising my kids on The Anarchist’s Cook Book for this reason.
This morning I gave my son a talk about why we’re not seeing the Paw Patrol movie.
deleted by creator
Reality check. We are in ZERO danger of extinction. Our population could decline by 95%, and there would still be more humans alive than when Julius Caesar walked the Earth. Extinction would take millennia. But even then, there are built in safe guards that make declining below a certain population level impossible.
For a start, consider natural selection. societies are not homogeneous. Some groups reproduce at above replacement, some below. In the US for example, if we just assume birth rates remain the same for all groups indefinitely, never returning to an average replacement rate? In that unlikely scenario, extinction still will not happen. The Amish and the Mormons shall inherit the Earth.
And this can happen for cultural practices, not just religious groups. Maybe multi-generational households will become more common through natural selection. Maybe it will become the norm for people to have children right after high school, while still living with their parents. You only go to college and start your career after having some kids. Each generation pays to raise their own grandchildren, rather than their own children.
And even without cultural selection, eventually technological decline will prevent extinction. What technology your society can wield is a function of its population. As your population shrinks, your society’s technological complexity decreases. Eventually you can no longer manufacture mechanized farming equipment, so more people have to work the land again. And on traditional family farms, children are an economic resource that pay for themselves. So the birth rate recovers. And of course, reliable birth control is the product of industrial production. Eventually your population shrinks enough that you are no longer capable of running a birth control factory.
I don’t want to see the country become entirely Amish or to see us collapse back to 18th century levels of technology. But these are just the worst case scenarios. The absolute worse case scenario is that population declines by 90-95% and we regress technologically to some 18th century equivalent. Not a future I want to see, but it would hardly be the end of the world. Our present industrial civilization would be remembered as an unsustainable historical aberration, a temporary population boom brought on by the era of cheap hydrocarbons.
We are literally sterilizing the planet lol. The rate of change in CO2 and temperature has never before been seen on this planet, and that’s including the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs, lol.
Nothing can adapt quickly enough to survive that, including us and all of our livestock.
Including the asteroid? Ok now I know you’re full of it.
And again, I’m not talking about whether we avoid mass calamity or civilizational collapse. Those things are possible. Complete extinction is not. Even if we end up with a few million humans scraping by as hunter gatherers at the high latitudes, humans are the most adaptable species on this planet.
I do see your points about the resilience, but to assume total population collapse is IMPOSSIBLE is wrong. Many species on this planet have become extinct and we are not immune to that, locally nor globally. The amish may struggle when crop failure and extreme weather becomes more common place due to changing climates or pollution levels. They might make a bad year or two, but several bad years in a row could significantly reduce populations, possibly to the point of poor genetic diversity where after a few generations certain diseases or conditions wipe them out. They could also just be murdered by hungry stragglers of modern society armed with assault rifles that take their farms without knowing how to sustainably run them.
And also those amish will still have to be having kids despite how bleak their future looks which was the ultimate point of my comment. No kids = no humanity.
We already know from millennia of history that the human population can be maintained just fine at pre-industrial technology and population levels. Sure crop failures happened, but they don’t happen everywhere at the same time. Famines were historically very localized things.
And if we’re talking complete climate collapse? In that scenario, everything goes out the window. If that’s the scenario you want to plan for, then we should be doing everything we can to shrink our numbers as fast as humanly possible.
Humans are by far the most resilient species on this planet. We’ve learned to live everywhere from burning arid deserts to frozen arctic wastes. We will be the last species on this planet aside from some bacteria that go extinct.
[laughs in water bear]
We literally cannot be the last species aside from bacteria to go extinct because we eat other species. We rely on plants and often animals to provide our nutrition. We rely on pollinators for plants to grow fruits and vegetables. We were able to survive those harsh environments because they could provide for us. There is no living in the artic without the seals for example.
This is also the fastest our climate has ever changed. Yes the climate has changed in the past but never ar the rate it is now which could cause widespread species collapse, likely becoming earth’s largest extinction event to date. We have no idea the extents that current climate changes impacts will have on us in 100 years, let alone the fact its still getting worse as there is a significant lag time in terms of the effects.
Sure. But again, if you’re planning for climate collapse, it’s a complete uncertainty. Really the only thing that we can do now that would reliably increase our chances of survival is to shrink our current population peacefully as rapidly as possible. If you’re worried about climate collapse, you should be dancing with joy at a declining population. Fewer people means fewer emissions and less land taken up by human activities.
We are already in an extinction event. Its not so much about if collapse but more about when and how much.
We don’t have 40 years.
Found Elon’s account
This is a good point. A lot of it to me is one experiencing an advanced level of human progression and relative peace and two seeing the awefulness that some people put up with and three seeing the massive widening of wealth disparity. If it was a situation where we just had the environmental challenges but society had progressed to a more equitable situation I could see it but then our environmental challenges would not be as great as they are. In addition if we were in a state where we had stabilized our population and was working to degrow to a level that was sustainable long term. Then it would make sense.