This article is a few days old, but I think it’s still interesting. The Polish Deputy Minister for Defence said this:

Today I wouldn’t even set a deadline anymore. Even some large-scale provocation by the Kremlin could quite plausibly happen within a matter of months.

Will Russia attack or sabotage NATO more than it is already doing? I hope not, but there have been indications in the news recently that such things could happen soon.

I found this article after googling, because this guy’s comments were referred to in another article today about the Russian government’s anger towards the UK.

  • perestroika@slrpnk.net
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    12 hours ago

    It matches a pattern.

    Acting upon advance warnings about a possible attempt or provocation by Russia, Finland has asked Sweden if they could station some ships and aircraft on Finnish territory just in case.

    What we’re doing here in Estonia currently (besides already hosting extra troops from allied countries) officially, seems to be “our threat assessement has not changed”. Unofficially, the defense forces accepted almost 3 x times less conscripts (only the brightest crayons, and mostly into UAV / anti-air / artillery / missile roles) and all the paid personnel are taking refresher courses on modern methods of war. Meanwhile construction works in the border regions are underway, with anti-armor ditches being dug and dragon’s teeth stored near blockable places. Drone purchases are of course behind schedule.

    Basically everyone in Eastern Europe considers it a possibility that Putin might make another miscalculation.

    Putin should know that a miscalculation with NATO will absolutely guarantee that Ukraine gets the upper hand.