I definitely understood their comment as “Israel claims everyone in Gaza as Hamas, so they’re more likely to die from a random airstrike than they are at sea”

A Wild Mimic’s info is what you asked for, but for what it’s worth, you can just look at the election that happened earlier this year to see if it passes the smell test (and it does):

The AFD won 20% of the vote in the election earlier this year and then the incoming chancello passed a policy with the old parliament (as leader of the opposition still) that would change a financial rule that would have no chance to pass once the new parliament was seated (because the AFD and most of his own party opposed the change), so a lot of the people who voted CDU/CSU (his party) felt betrayed and said “fuck it, I’ll vote AFD next time”