Human

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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Realistically, Ukraine only really wants security guarantees. That is THE deal. They would be willing to ceed Crimea and dombas. I think. I mean maybe not, I don’t have any special insight. But like Donbas, it’s not a place people in other parts of Ukraine would be willing to die for in masses (I think).

    The main thing is security guarantees and I think it’s PRO how they are running their diplomacy.

    I think if they were offered NATO, they would ceed a lot for that.

    But… That’s exactly what Russians don’t want. They want influence. They want direct influence that would show they are a real super power. Which by now, everybody sees they are not, but grasping for straws… influence over demilitarized Ukraine would kind of show they are a super power. Not really, but a bit for their own population.

    However, there is no way in hell they can get that. Because even now Ukraine is too strong for them to take any city of significance. Even if US stops sending weapons altogether.

    So… The peace… We aren’t close, unless Putin can convince people internally that they won , when they don’t… but, then he has to worry all about the postwar economy which would be described in several rude words.

    It’s a truly bad situation.