Well I drive a car and I do know how it works, but I don’t need to.
One day the AI will be a powerful tool for making software, not 100% of all software, but enough to make those cheap stuffs like most websites for example, laying off lots of those people doing it today IMO.
I agree. But I mean, WordPress and SquareSpace already did that for about 98% of web traffic. It was a big part of the .Com Boom and Bust.
But we keep coming up with new stuff to build web software for, and there’s still plenty of web developer jobs. And there’s still so so many many shit websites.
Today’s AI can only remix, not do the new stuff. Maybe it’ll get good enough to tackle the novel new stuff, someday. I doubt I’ll live to see it, if it happens.
The root of my crankiness is: If we’re about to no longer need developers, I should be seeing widespread websites whose search, cart and checkout actually work correctly every time.
The snake oil salesmen are bragging that the era of carpentry has ended, from on top of a wooden stage that is falling to pieces with each step.
I would say, it can only get better, but it can really go both ways from here.
Knowing it (well, appearing to, by regurgitating the average) better than many developers, pretty soon. A huge number of us know disturbingly little about how computers actually work. (Edit: Sorry, I’m being needlessly unkind to a bunch of us, since as Snoogums said, the current stuff doesn’t actually know anything at all, yet.)
Knowing it better than top developers is a science fiction fantasy singularity daydream.
And even Heinlein’s and Asimov’s post singularity fiction novels acknowledged that there would likely be roles for expert humans.
How much longer will we need people who understand how things work?
Well I drive a car and I do know how it works, but I don’t need to.
One day the AI will be a powerful tool for making software, not 100% of all software, but enough to make those cheap stuffs like most websites for example, laying off lots of those people doing it today IMO.
I agree. But I mean, WordPress and SquareSpace already did that for about 98% of web traffic. It was a big part of the .Com Boom and Bust.
But we keep coming up with new stuff to build web software for, and there’s still plenty of web developer jobs. And there’s still so so many many shit websites.
Today’s AI can only remix, not do the new stuff. Maybe it’ll get good enough to tackle the novel new stuff, someday. I doubt I’ll live to see it, if it happens.
The root of my crankiness is: If we’re about to no longer need developers, I should be seeing widespread websites whose search, cart and checkout actually work correctly every time.
The snake oil salesmen are bragging that the era of carpentry has ended, from on top of a wooden stage that is falling to pieces with each step.
I would say, it can only get better, but it can really go both ways from here.
How much longer until the bots are capable of knowing the code better than the developers.
Too hard to guess until we reach the stage where the bots know anything at all instead of just regurgitating text based on statistics.
Knowing it (well, appearing to, by regurgitating the average) better than many developers, pretty soon. A huge number of us know disturbingly little about how computers actually work. (Edit: Sorry, I’m being needlessly unkind to a bunch of us, since as Snoogums said, the current stuff doesn’t actually know anything at all, yet.)
Knowing it better than top developers is a science fiction fantasy singularity daydream.
And even Heinlein’s and Asimov’s post singularity fiction novels acknowledged that there would likely be roles for expert humans.