• Taldan@lemmy.world
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    16 hours ago

    That fundamentally misunderstands the incentives of involved parties

    Russia and China, broadly, benefit from the US war on Iran. They are incentivized to allow the war to continue for the time being

    Russia benefits because it aligns US interests (oil and gas) with Russia, which is a major producer of oil and gas products. These interests take the form of helping Russia in their war against Ukraine

    China benefits because the war weakens their global roval, the US

    Europe is unequivocally against the war. They have nothing to gain, and public opinion is anti-war

    Europe is also against anything that helps Russia in their war against Ukraine, which takes priority over ending the US war against Iran

    To put the three together in negotiations would be a waste of time and resources. Their incentives are incompatible

    • panthera_@lemmy.today
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      3 hours ago

      Russia and China could be benefiting from the war as long as it is a stalemate but suppose the Iranian regime collapses and is replaced by one which is pro-US. Russia would now have a pro-US country next door, and the US could control the oil exported to China.

      The war is helping Russia’s war against Ukraine because Trump is willing to help Putin in order to get Russian diesel oil. Remember the problem with Starlink. Also. the war in Iran is increasing oil prices in Europe.