• Ontimp@feddit.org
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    2 days ago

    Not on the island but if the US now starts using tactical nukes in Iran, the nuclear power China would seriously consider its own tactical nuclear use cases - after all what’s the value in being a nuclear power if it’s a forgone conclusion that you won’t use them. Doubly so should the US prove it’s willingness to use tactical nukes now, as China would then need to expect that nukes might be used against them too, should it come to a military exchange with the US over Taiwan. It’s mutually assured destruction, but instead of destroying cities with ICBMs you sink each other’s aircraft carriers with smaller nukes.

    Regarding Taiwan itself, I think there would be valid use cases, especially for the massive EMPs given off by nukes detonated in the atmosphere. They can disable an army of drones and most civilian communication systems all at once, which seems like a very solid first strike move if you don’t want to destroy the country but cause enough disruption to allow an invasion force to land.

    I’m not a military strategist though, so no guarantees on any of this.

    • someguy3@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      They consider Taiwan part of China. They would see nuking Taiwan as nuking their own left hand. Very unlikely.

      • Ontimp@feddit.org
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        2 days ago

        As I said, I completely agree regarding the island itself. I see that even the atmospheric use might be unrealistic there.

        But if the US establishes that the use of tactical nukes is acceptable, I doubt they’d have the same qualms when it comes to ships or drones of the US Navy.